（华盛顿30日综合电）美国《华尔街日报》周日（12月28日）撰文剖析，一旦发生台海冲突，台湾的命运将迅速与美日纠缠在一起。因为若要击退全面攻击，台湾就需要主要防卫伙伴美国加入战斗，而为了有效作战，美军则需要日本参与支援。
报导指出，台湾是一座民主自治的岛屿，坐落在重要的海上十字路口。若中国成功征服台湾，将使得北京能够主宰该区域的战略航道，向太平洋广泛投射军事力量，更积极追求具争议的海上与领土主张。
国际战略研究所（IISS）日本事务主席沃德（Robert Ward）指出，“若台湾落入中国手中，亚洲权力平衡将决定性地倾向中国。”他分析，中国目前受制于第一岛链围堵，也就是日本、台湾、菲律宾等美国盟友构成的防线，如今“显然想要突破这个局面”。
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